Marcos Giron vs Mariano NavoneIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#92ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#38ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Giron M.
4-6 7-5 6-3
Navone M.
Giron M.
4762
Navone M.
6531

Marcos Giron defeated Mariano Navone 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #38, defending last year's round of 64. Marcos Giron extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardMarcos Giron6-0 7-5 4-6 5-7 6-4
2025-08-17Winston-SalemR32hardMariano Navone6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Giron M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Navone M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Giron M.Navone M.
29
Serve
3
45
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
75
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Dominant
42
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
56
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+11 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1693
5.1Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1822
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.3
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.4
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
94

Giron M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Navone M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%