Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic — Jinan Round of 32
Why
Surface+2 Hard Elo edgeInformative
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1474Against the prediction · Tomic B.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Sweeny D.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 813
Hard ELO1 717
Last 105–5
Age25
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.0M2026 $400K
ELO1 767
Hard ELO1 682
Last 107–3
Age33
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $6.9M2026 $210K
Dane Sweeny faces Bernard Tomic in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Dane Sweeny is the paper favourite — ranked #112 — but Bernard Tomic arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Dane Sweeny's 5 of 10. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Key context
- Freshness: Dane Sweeny comes in with 5 days of rest and 108 games in 14d, vs Bernard Tomic's 3 and 130.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Bernard Tomic grades 26 on serve, Dane Sweeny 50 on return.
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Brisbane 3 CH 2025.
Common opponents
1 shared · last 12 monthsSweeny D. and Tomic B. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Sweeny D. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Tomic B. 0–1 (0%).
0–10%Sweeny D. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Tomic B. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–2Sets0–2
14–19Games8–12
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets0–0
Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.
vs O'Connell C.#117L7-6(3) 2-6 5-7Cincinnati · hardL4-6 4-6Wimbledon · grass
Head-to-head
2 meetings · level 1–111
- Sweeny D.November 2025Brisbane 3 CHHard5-7 6-3 6-2
- Tomic B.June 2023Palmas Del Mar CHHard6-4 7-6
Evidence
Sweeny D.Tomic B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (29–26)55% (33–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1813 (ahead)1767
Hard-court ELO1717 (ahead)1682
Serve vs returnLast 39 matches each
1st-serve points won67%72% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)36%
Aces / match3.45.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 matches each
Break points saved60%61% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/sweeny-vs-tomic-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).