Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska | Wuhan Round of 128

UMPIRY

WuhanR128HardTue 13 Oct · 10:00

Mayar SherifWTA #52 · EGY24%

VSClear favourite · Chwalinska M.

Maja Chwalinska(16)WTA #22 · POL76%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Chwalinska M.

24%76%

Clear edge for Chwalinska M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sherif M.4.9/10

Heavy underdog

Chwalinska M.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+231 Hard Elo edgeSupports Chwalinska M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1833Supports Chwalinska M.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Chwalinska M.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 836

Hard ELO1 433

Last 107–3

Age30

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.6M2026 $512K

ELO1 884

Hard ELO1 654

Last 104–6

Age25

Height164 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $2.7M2026 $2.0M

Mayar Sherif faces Maja Chwalinska in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Maja Chwalinska holds the paper edge — ranked #22, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Maja Chwalinska ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Under pressure: In the tight moments, Maja Chwalinska has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 65 vs 22).
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 0–1 on hard. Last met at Florianopolis 2024.

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Sherif M. and Chwalinska M. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sherif M. went 6–7 (46%) against them, Chwalinska M. 6–3 (67%). Chwalinska M. came out better against 2 of 9 comparable opponents, Sherif M. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).

6–746%Sherif M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents6–367%Chwalinska M. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

17–16Sets14–9

171–163Games119–77

3–1Tiebreaks0–1

2–5Deciding sets3–2

vs Oliynykova O.#51L3-6 4-6Monterrey · hardW6-0 6-1Singapore · hard
vs Quevedo K.#76W6-3 7-6(2)Iasi · clayW3-6 6-2 6-4Oeiras 125 · clay
vs Jeanjean L.#94L3-6 6-2 4-6Colina 125 · clayL4-6 2-6Colina 125 · clay

Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Waltert S.#110W5-7 6-4 7-6(3)Hamburg · clayW6-1 6-0Oeiras 125 · clay
vs Uchijima M.#121L6-4 5-7 5-7Antalya 125 1 · clayL6-2 3-6 5-7Antalya 125 2 · clay
vs Noha Akugue N.#126W6-4 6-4Dubrovnik 125 · clayW6-2 3-6 6-1Oeiras 125 Indoor 1 · hard
vs Montgomery R.#153L6-3 5-7 6-7Oeiras 125 · clayW6-2 6-0Oeiras 125 · clay
vs Lepchenko V.#192L4-6 4-6Buenos Aires 125 · clayL6-1 5-7 6-7Buenos Aires 125 · clay
vs Trevisan M.#301W7-5 6-1Roland Garros · clayW6-2 4-6 6-2Colina 125 · clay

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Hard: Chwalinska M. leads 1–0 · Clay: Sherif M. leads 1–0

Chwalinska M.December 2024FlorianopolisHard6-3 4-6 6-1
Sherif M.May 2021Roland GarrosClay4-6 7-5 6-2

Evidence

Sherif M.Chwalinska M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate65% (34–18)66% (33–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18361884

Hard-court ELO14331654

Serve vs returnLast 50 matches each

1st-serve points won58%60%

Return points won47%50%

Aces / match0.70.7

ClutchLast 50 matches each

Break points saved54%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast24°C · Clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity62%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/chwalinska-vs-sherif-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).