Marat Sharipov vs Jake Delaney — Jinan Qualifying Round of 16

JinanQ16QualifyingHardMon 12 Oct · 15:00COURT 1 · Next on
VSClear favourite · Sharipov M.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sharipov M.
77%23%

Clear edge for Sharipov M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sharipov M.7.5/10
Dominant favourite
Delaney J.3.6/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+327 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sharipov M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1425Supports Sharipov M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Delaney J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 767
Hard ELO1 719
Last 108–2
Age24
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $160K2026 $24K
ELO1 642
Hard ELO1 623
Last 106–4
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $153K2026 $28K

Marat Sharipov faces Jake Delaney in the Jinan qualifying round of 16 on hard. Marat Sharipov holds the paper edge — ranked #234, a roughly 330-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sharipov M.Delaney J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate65% (35–19) (ahead)55% (27–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1767 (ahead)1642
Hard-court ELO1719 (ahead)1623
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 37 matches
1st-serve points won79% (ahead)73%
Return points won39% (ahead)34%
Aces / match10.1 (ahead)7.6
ClutchLast 46 vs 37 matches
Break points saved66%69% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT 1 · Next on · Not before 15:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · 15:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast25°C · Overcast
Wind4 km/h
Humidity44%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sharipov M.Delaney J.
5 — fresherDays since last match1
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
34Games · 7 days7 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
118Games · 14 days7 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marat Sharipov vs Jake Delaney — Jinan Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/delaney-vs-sharipov-jinan-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).