Fajing Sun vs Jie Cui | Jinan Round of 32

UMPIRY

JinanR32HardMon 12 Oct · ~16:30COURT 1 · After 3 matches

Fajing SunATP #303 · CHN58%

VSSlight edge · Sun F.

Jie CuiATP #420 · CHN42%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Sun F.

58%42%

Sun F. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sun F.6.1/10

Even match

Cui J.5.4/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+120 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sun F.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1496Supports Sun F.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 4–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Cui J.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 687

Hard ELO1 648

Last 105–5

Age30

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $530K2026 $69K

ELO1 651

Hard ELO1 594

Last 104–6

Age28

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $237K2026 $25K

Fajing Sun faces Jie Cui in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Fajing Sun is the paper favourite — ranked #303, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but Jie Cui has won 5 of their 7 previous meetings. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Fajing Sun 83 games in 14 days, Jie Cui 73.
Head-to-head: Jie Cui leads the head-to-head 5–2, 1–4 on hard. Last met at Shanghai 2026.
Surface form: Fajing Sun 5 of 10, Jie Cui 4 of 10 on hard recently — Fajing Sun the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

7 meetings · Cui J. leads 5–2

Hard: Cui J. leads 4–1 · Clay: level 1–1

Cui J.September 2026ShanghaiHard7-5 6-4
Cui J.September 2024M25 Fuzhou 1Hard3-6 6-2 6-4
Cui J.May 2024M25 Anning 1Clay6-3 6-2
Cui J.August 2023M25 Yinchuan 1Hard6-3 7-5
Sun F.August 2023M25 Anning 1Clay6-3 4-6 6-2

Evidence

Sun F.Cui J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–54–6

Season win rate52% (29–27)39% (11–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16871651

Hard-court ELO16481594

Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 22 matches

1st-serve points won71%69%

Return points won38%36%

Aces / match3.94.0

ClutchLast 47 vs 22 matches

Break points saved65%60%

When it starts

COURT 1 · After 3 matches · Followed by

1Matsuoka H. v McCabe J.Starts at 12:00
2Sharipov M. v Delaney J.Not before 13:30
3Landaluce M. v Simakin I.Not before 15:00
4This match: Sun F. v Cui J.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · ~16:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast24°C · Overcast

Wind6 km/h

Humidity43%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Sun F.Cui J.

2Days since last match6

3Matches · 7 days1

51Games · 7 days36

4Matches · 14 days3

83Games · 14 days73

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Fajing Sun vs Jie Cui — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/cui-vs-sun-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).