Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel De Jonge | Roanne Qualifying Round of 8

UMPIRY

RoanneQ8QualifyingHardMon 12 Oct · 10:30CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · Next on

Ugo BlanchetATP #305 · FRA73%

VSClear favourite · Blanchet U.

Daniel De JongeATP #585 · NED27%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Blanchet U.

73%27%

Clear edge for Blanchet U. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Blanchet U.5.1/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

De Jonge D.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · De Jonge D.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 752

Hard ELO1 670

Last 106–4

Age27

EarningsCareer $993K2026 $122K

ELO1 579

Hard ELO1 566

Last 106–4

Age27

EarningsCareer $56K2026 $12K

Ugo Blanchet faces Daniel De Jonge in the Roanne qualifying round of 8 on hard. Ugo Blanchet holds the paper edge — ranked #305. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Ugo Blanchet dropped just 3 games past Nicolas Tepmahc.
Last match: Daniel De Jonge dropped just 6 games past Maxime Janvier.
Fatigue load: Ugo Blanchet carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Blanchet U.De Jonge D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate44% (19–24)57% (12–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17521579

Hard-court ELO16701566

Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 11 matches

1st-serve points won73%74%

Return points won35%41%

Aces / match5.36.2

ClutchLast 39 vs 11 matches

Break points saved65%68%

When it starts

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · Next on · Starts at 10:30

1This match: Blanchet U. v De Jonge D.This match
2Bernet H. v Boogaard T.Followed by
3Gueymard Wayenburg S. v Broady L.Not before 16:30
4Gaston H. v Jade D.Not before 18:30
5Grenier H. v Bonzi B.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · 10:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast9°C · Mainly clear

Wind1 km/h

Humidity87%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel De Jonge — Roanne Qualifying Round of 8", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/blanchet-vs-jonge-roanne-q8?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).