Hugo Grenier vs Benjamin Bonzi | Roanne Round of 32

UMPIRY

RoanneR32HardMon 12 Oct · ~20:00CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · After 3 matches

Hugo GrenierATP #269 · FRA26%

VSClear favourite · Bonzi B.

Benjamin Bonzi(2)ATP #92 · FRA74%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bonzi B.

26%74%

Clear edge for Bonzi B. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Grenier H.5.3/10

Clear underdog

Bonzi B.6.8/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+190 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bonzi B.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1749Supports Bonzi B.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headTrails 1–2 on hardInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 728

Hard ELO1 677

Last 105–5

Age30

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $143K

ELO1 914

Hard ELO1 785

Last 106–4

Age30

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.8M2026 $584K

Hugo Grenier faces Benjamin Bonzi in the Roanne round of 32 on hard. Benjamin Bonzi holds the paper edge — ranked #92, leading the head-to-head 4–1, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Hugo Grenier 103 games in 14 days, Benjamin Bonzi 19.
Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi leads the head-to-head 4–1, 1–2 on hard. Last met at St. Tropez CH 2021.
Surface form: Hugo Grenier 5 of 10, Benjamin Bonzi 6 of 10 on hard recently — Benjamin Bonzi the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Grenier H. and Bonzi B. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Grenier H. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Bonzi B. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Grenier H. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Bonzi B. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets2–0

5–12Games12–8

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Rottgering M.#327L4-6 1-6Winston-Salem · hardW6-4 6-4s Hertogenbosch · grass

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Bonzi B. leads 4–1

Hard: Bonzi B. leads 2–1 · Clay: Bonzi B. leads 2–0

Bonzi B.August 2021St. Tropez CHHard4-6 6-3 6-2
Grenier H.November 2019M25 Saint Dizier 1Hard6-3 4-6 7-6(7)
Bonzi B.June 2019Lyon CHClay5-7 6-3 6-4
Bonzi B.March 2015France F4Hard1-6 7-6(5) 6-4
Bonzi B.July 2013France F12Clay6-4 6-4

Evidence

Grenier H.Bonzi B.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate40% (16–24)58% (35–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17281914

Hard-court ELO16771785

Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 43 matches

1st-serve points won72%72%

Return points won37%35%

Aces / match6.75.5

ClutchLast 30 vs 43 matches

Break points saved55%61%

When it starts

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · After 3 matches · Followed by

1Blanchet U. v De Jonge D.Starts at 10:30
2Gueymard Wayenburg S. v Broady L.Not before 16:30
3Gaston H. v Jade D.Not before 18:30
4This match: Grenier H. v Bonzi B.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · ~20:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast18°C · Clear

Wind3 km/h

Humidity41%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Grenier H.Bonzi B.

6Days since last match13

2Matches · 7 days0

42Games · 7 days0

5Matches · 14 days1

103Games · 14 days19

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hugo Grenier vs Benjamin Bonzi — Roanne Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/bonzi-vs-grenier-roanne-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).