Hugo Grenier vs Mees RottgeringWinston-Salem Qualifying Round

Winston-Salem · ATP · Qualifying Round
#255ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM COURT · 1st on
#389ATP
1468ELO
1449Hard ELO
19 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Grenier H.
4-6 1-6
Rottgering M.
Grenier H.
410
Rottgering M.
662

Mees Rottgering defeated Hugo Grenier in the qualifying eighth round of the Winston-Salem hard-court tournament. Rottgering won the match 6-4, 6-1. He served 3 aces and 2 double faults, and converted 29% of break points en route to 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Grenier H.56%
Rottgering M.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+74 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1449
6.0Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1468
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
67

Grenier H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Rottgering M.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw