Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi | Roanne Round of 16

UMPIRY

RoanneR16HardWed 14 Oct · 18:30CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · After 2 matches

Mika BrunoldATP #261 · SUI39%

VSSlight edge · Bonzi B.

Benjamin Bonzi(2)ATP #92 · FRA61%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bonzi B.

39%61%

Bonzi B. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Brunold M.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Bonzi B.7.3/10

Strong advantage

Why

Surface+270 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bonzi B.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1749Supports Bonzi B.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Brunold M.

Opponent formOpponent hot: 9 of last 10Against the prediction · Brunold M.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 731

Hard ELO1 570

Last 109–1

Age22

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $147K2026 $24K

ELO1 916

Hard ELO1 788

Last 107–3

Age30

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.8M2026 $584K

Mika Brunold faces Benjamin Bonzi in the Roanne round of 16 on hard. Benjamin Bonzi holds the paper edge — ranked #92, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Benjamin Bonzi dropped the opening set before beating Hugo Grenier 6–7 6–1 6–3.
Fatigue load: Benjamin Bonzi carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brunold M.Bonzi B.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–17–3

Season win rate70% (30–13)59% (36–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17311916

Hard-court ELO15701788

Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 44 matches

1st-serve points won68%72%

Return points won42%35%

Aces / match2.65.5

ClutchLast 31 vs 44 matches

Break points saved60%62%

When it starts

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · After 2 matches · Not before 18:30

1Bertola R. v Virtanen O.Not before 12:00
2Chidekh C. v Kym J.Not before 13:30
3This match: Brunold M. v Bonzi B.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · 18:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast21°C · Clear

Wind9 km/h

Humidity60%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Brunold M.Bonzi B.

1Days since last match1

1Matches · 7 days1

22Games · 7 days29

1Matches · 14 days1

22Games · 14 days29

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi — Roanne Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/bonzi-vs-brunold-roanne-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).