Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard | Roanne Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

RoanneQ16QualifyingHardMon 12 Oct · ~12:00CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · After 1 match

Henry BernetATP #371 · SUI65%

VSSlight edge · Bernet H.

Thijs BoogaardATP #487 · NED35%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bernet H.

65%35%

Bernet H. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bernet H.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Boogaard T.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardSupports Bernet H.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Bernet H.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 650

Hard ELO1 530

Last 109–1

Age19

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $130K2026 $50K

ELO1 557

Hard ELO1 518

Last 104–6

Age18

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $62K2026 $39K

Henry Bernet faces Thijs Boogaard in the Roanne qualifying round of 16 on hard. Henry Bernet holds the paper edge — ranked #371.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Henry Bernet 84 games in 14 days, Thijs Boogaard 46.
Last match: Thijs Boogaard dropped the opening set before beating Timeo Trufelli 5–7 6–3 6–4.
Surface form: Henry Bernet 8 of 9, Thijs Boogaard 4 of 9 on hard recently — Henry Bernet the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bernet H.Boogaard T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–14–6

Season win rate58% (25–18)63% (19–11)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16501557

Hard-court ELO15301518

Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 22 matches

1st-serve points won75%69%

Return points won38%40%

Aces / match6.43.2

ClutchLast 35 vs 22 matches

Break points saved60%62%

When it starts

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · After 1 match · Followed by

1Blanchet U. v De Jonge D.Starts at 10:30
2This match: Bernet H. v Boogaard T.This match
3Gueymard Wayenburg S. v Broady L.Not before 16:30
4Gaston H. v Jade D.Not before 18:30
5Grenier H. v Bonzi B.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · ~12:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast13°C · Mainly clear

Wind2 km/h

Humidity77%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Bernet H.Boogaard T.

8Days since last match7

0Matches · 7 days1

0Games · 7 days30

4Matches · 14 days2

84Games · 14 days46

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Henry Bernet vs Thijs Boogaard — Roanne Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/bernet-vs-boogaard-roanne-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).