Alex Kobelt vs Matisse Bobichon — Rennes Qualifying Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
Alex Kobelt
USAALT
Alex Kobelt
#1846ATP
29 yrs · 196 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLWL
—
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
LE LIBERTE · 5th on
FRA
Matisse Bobichon
#639ATP
$7kYTD
$22kCAREER
24 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWW
Kobelt A.
vs
Bobichon M.

Alex Kobelt faces Matisse Bobichon in the Rennes qualifying round of 32 on hard. Matisse Bobichon holds the paper edge — ranked #639. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Kobelt A.16%
Bobichon M.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bobichon M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Matisse Bobichon carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Alex Kobelt 4 of 9, Matisse Bobichon 5 of 9 on hard recently — Matisse Bobichon the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kobelt A.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Bobichon M.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 13
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 9 matches

Statistics

This season
Kobelt A.Bobichon M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
49%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
37%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
63%
Return points won·Even
31%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kobelt A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bobichon M.

Bobichon M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kobelt A.

Serve advantage — Bobichon M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Kobelt A.Bobichon M.
Freshness·
—
77

Bobichon M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

5th on LE LIBERTE · Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Poling K. v Slavic N.
    6-757-666-75
  2. 2Schoenhaus M. v Ganesan A.
    7-6126-4
  3. 3Zahraj P. v Sheehy J.Live
    3-2
  4. 4Potenza L. v Bass F.
  5. 5Kobelt A. v Bobichon M.This match
  6. 6Boulais J. v Arribage T.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 37%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw