Justin Boulais vs Theo Arribage — Rennes Qualifying Round of 32
Rennes · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#403ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
$50kYTD
$165kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLLWWL
—
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
LE LIBERTE · 6th on
Boulais J.vs
Arribage T.
Justin Boulais faces Theo Arribage in the Rennes qualifying round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCBoulais J.87%
Arribage T.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Boulais J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Justin Boulais 3 of 9, Theo Arribage 2 of 9 on hard recently — Justin Boulais the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Justin Boulais carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on hard
Surface form1.52 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
62%
—
1st serve points won·
68%
—
2nd serve points won·
52%
—
Service points won·
62%
—
Return points won·
41%
—
Break points saved·
65%
—
Aces / match·
4.1
—
Double faults / match·
2.6
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
86
—
Boulais J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
6th on LE LIBERTE · Followed By · 3 matches still to finish ahead
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 51%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.