Luca Potenza vs Finn Bass — Rennes Qualifying Round of 32

Rennes · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
Luca Potenza
ITA
Luca Potenza
#488ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
$14kYTD
$127kCAREER
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLLWL
—
Sets
Sunday, 13 September 2026 ·
hard
LE LIBERTE · 4th on
GBRALT
Finn Bass
#1099ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWLLW
Potenza L.
vs
Bass F.

Luca Potenza faces Finn Bass in the Rennes qualifying round of 32 on hard. Luca Potenza holds the paper edge — ranked #488.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Potenza L.72%
Bass F.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Potenza L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Luca Potenza carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Luca Potenza 4 of 5, Finn Bass 2 of 5 on hard recently — Luca Potenza the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Potenza L.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Bass F.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
Potenza L.Bass F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
53%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
62%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Potenza L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bass F.

Bass F.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Serve advantage — Potenza L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Potenza L.Bass F.
Freshness·
76
—

Potenza L.: 8 days rest · 6 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on LE LIBERTE · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Poling K. v Slavic N.
    6-757-666-75
  2. 2Schoenhaus M. v Ganesan A.
    7-6126-4
  3. 3Zahraj P. v Sheehy J.Live
    3-2
  4. 4Potenza L. v Bass F.This match
  5. 5Kobelt A. v Bobichon M.
  6. 6Boulais J. v Arribage T.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 35%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw