Jazmin Ortenzi vs Mary StoianaKia Open - Barranquilla Round of 32

Kia Open - Barranquilla · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#158WTA
1523ELO
1381Hard ELO
$133kYTD
$298kCAREER
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Campo 8 · 4th on
#122WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$421kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Ortenzi J.
3-6 2-6
Stoiana M.
Ortenzi J.
320
Stoiana M.
662

Mary Stoiana defeated Jazmin Ortenzi in the Round of 32 of the Kia Open - Barranquilla. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Stoiana. Stoiana converted all of her break points and won three service breaks to Ortenzi's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Ortenzi J.31%
Stoiana M.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stoiana M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1381
Surface ELO
7.3+186 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.63 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
71

Ortenzi J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 33 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw