Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno SakatsumeUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#158WTA
1523ELO
1381Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 9 · 2nd on
#144WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
Ortenzi J.
3-6 1-6
Sakatsume H.
Ortenzi J.
310
Sakatsume H.
662

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Jazmin Ortenzi in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-3, 6-1. Sakatsume converted 62% of her break points and broke Ortenzi's serve five times to secure the win. Ortenzi committed three double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
62
Break points saved·Dominant
36
64
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Even
58
62
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Ortenzi J.29%
Sakatsume H.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakatsume H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1381
Surface ELO
7.7+218 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
69

Ortenzi J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Sakatsume H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw