Mary Stoiana vs Katherine Sebov — Midland 125 Quarter-final

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
USA
Mary Stoiana
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
CAN
Katherine Sebov
#244WTA
1407ELO
1401Hard ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
Stoiana M.
6-3 6-4
Sebov K.
Stoiana M.
662
Sebov K.
34–

Mary Stoiana defeated Katherine Sebov 6-3 6-4 in the Midland 125 quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Mary Stoiana came in ranked #130.

Key context

  • Match story: Mary Stoiana closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Stoiana M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sebov K.

Sebov K.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Stoiana M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Stoiana M.Sebov K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
79%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stoiana M.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Sebov K.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+166 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1401
6.1Overall Elo 1656
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1407
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
6.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stoiana M.Sebov K.
Freshness·Clear edge
59
83

Stoiana M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Sebov K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Charaeva A.
Guo H.
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Charaeva A.
Vidmanova D.
3-66-36-4
Guo H.
Stoiana M.
7-646-727-5
Quarter-finals
Stoiana M.
Sebov K.
6-36-4
Guo H.
Kalieva E.
6-22-67-68
Charaeva A.
Hibino N.
7-656-3
Vidmanova D.
Frey A.
6-26-2
R16
Sebov K.
Cross K.
6-26-2
Stoiana M.
Brengle M.
6-26-2
Kalieva E.
Hosogi S.
6-26-2
Charaeva A.
You X.
6-47-64
Hibino N.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-4
Frey A.
Day K.
6-43-66-3
Vidmanova D.
Lee G.
6-26-2
Guo H.
Jokic K.
6-11-0
R32
Lee G.
Ma L.
6-26-3
Kalieva E.
Rogers A.
6-46-2
Hosogi S.
Liu C.
3-66-16-3
Sebov K.
Krueger A.
7-52-67-5
Cross K.
Brace C.
6-45-76-4
Jokic K.
Jones E.
6-42-66-2
Guo H.
Chirico L.
3-66-46-2
You X.
Karatancheva L.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Ansari C.
6-25-76-4
Frey A.
Mandlik E.
7-56-2
Day K.
Coleman E.
6-46-2
Brengle M.
Scott K.
6-36-2
Stoiana M.
Chang H.
3-67-696-2
Charaeva A.
Xu S.
6-06-4
Osuigwe W.
Hewitt D.
6-46-3
Vidmanova D.
Sawashiro K.
6-26-1