Michael Zheng vs Arthur GeaUS Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
#107ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWL
2 — 3
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 3rd on
#87ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Zheng M.
6-7 6-3 6-4 3-6 2-6
Gea A.
Zheng M.
6766322
Gea A.
7934663

Arthur Gea defeated Michael Zheng in the Round of 32 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Gea. Both players recorded 5 aces and 6 service breaks, but Gea had 8 double faults to Zheng's 6, and converted 26% of break points to Zheng's 60%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Gea closed it out in five sets, 7–6 3–6 4–6 6–3 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-30Los CabosR16hardArthur Gea0-6 6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Zheng M.44%
Gea A.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1610
6.2Overall Elo 1695
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1596
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
36

Zheng M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d) · Gea A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 186 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw