Arthur Gea vs Michael ZhengNoumea CH Semi-final

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#137ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$352kYTD
$604kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#121ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLW
Gea A.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Zheng M.
Gea A.
4662
Zheng M.
6141

Arthur Gea defeated Michael Zheng 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the Noumea CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Michael Zheng came in ranked #121.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gea A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zheng M.

Zheng M.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gea A.

Serve advantage — Gea A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
0.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
92

Gea A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast