Taylor Fritz vs C. O'ConnellCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 10 · 4th on
#129ATP
32 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLLW
Fritz T.
6-4 6-3
O'Connell C.
Fritz T.
662
O'Connell C.
430

Taylor Fritz advanced to the quarterfinals of the Cincinnati tournament with a win over Christopher O'Connell in the Round of 16. Fritz secured the victory with a 6-4, 6-3 score.

Around the match

  • I'll try to do what I always do, try to be aggressive on my serve. That's always the best strategy.

  • Really? I didn't even realize. It feels good to be in the quarterfinals. I think I've been playing good tennis lately, and I'm a little surprised to hear that.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Fritz closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-02WimbledonR128grassTaylor Fritz6-1 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
8.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
25
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
36
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
5
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Fritz T.88%
O'Connell C.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fritz T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.16 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
71
67

Fritz T.: played today · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · O'Connell C.: played today · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw