Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 32
PORQ
Jaime Faria
#79ATP
1735ELO
1615Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
CHAMPIONS' COURT · 4th on
Adam Walton
AUS
Adam Walton
#98ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLW
Faria J.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Walton A.
Faria J.
46772
Walton A.
64631

Jaime Faria defeated Adam Walton in the Round of 32 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Faria won 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, despite being outbroken an equal number of times and committing 10 more double faults than his opponent. Faria hit more aces and had a higher first-serve win percentage than Walton.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Faria J.Walton A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.1
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Faria J.Walton A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
40
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
92
Break points won·Clear edge
22
8
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Faria J.62%
Walton A.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Faria J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Faria J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Walton A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1615
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1735
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.8Won 79% in Usa (39)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Faria J.Walton A.
Freshness·Slight edge
57
64

Faria J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw