Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez — Miami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Adam Walton
AUS
Adam Walton
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Walton A.
6-2 6-2
Baez S.
Walton A.
662
Baez S.
220

Adam Walton defeated Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-2 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Walton A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Walton A.Baez S.
35
Serve
5
27
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Walton A.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Walton A.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
87
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Dominant
20
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
69
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Walton A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Baez S.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1669
Surface ELO
5.9+40 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
7.8
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Walton A.Baez S.
Freshness·Dominant
62
94

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Lehecka J.[21]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-64
Lehecka J.[21]
Fils A.[28]
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Fils A.[28]
Paul T.[22]
6-737-647-66
Lehecka J.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-617-5
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[2]
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Halys Q.
7-647-61
Cerundolo F.[18]
Humbert U.[31]
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Atmane T.
6-41-66-4
Landaluce M.
Korda S.[32]
2-67-666-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Fritz T.[6]
6-46-746-2
Fils A.[28]
Vacherot V.[24]
6-46-746-4
Paul T.[22]
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-16-3
Sinner J.[2]
Michelsen A.
7-57-64
R32
Paul T.[22]
Collignon R.
6-23-67-65
Landaluce M.
Khachanov K.[14]
6-37-62
Fils A.[28]
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-1
Halys Q.
Majchrzak K.
7-646-1
Sinner J.[2]
Moutet C.[30]
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-35-76-4
Vacherot V.[24]
Berrettini M.
7-656-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Quinn E.
6-37-66
Michelsen A.
Tabilo A.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-04-67-5
Tiafoe F.[19]
Mensik J.[12]
7-644-67-611
Atmane T.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-31-66-3
Fritz T.[6]
Opelka R.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Cilic M.
6-25-76-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Jodar R.
7-56-4
Humbert U.[31]
Shevchenko A.
6-47-62
R64
Etcheverry T.[29]
Bergs Z.
7-657-63
Opelka R.
Draper J.[25]
7-637-60
Collignon R.
Cobolli F.[13]
7-56-3
Paul T.[22]
Mannarino A.
6-22-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Shelton B.[8]
6-737-636-3
Halys Q.
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
7-686-4
Jodar R.
Vukic A.
6-16-2
Zverev A.[3]
Damm M.
6-26-4
Mensik J.[12]
Walton A.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[31]
Diallo G.
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-06-3
Cerundolo F.[18]
Tirante T.
6-46-2
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
Fucsovics M.
7-637-5
Lehecka J.[21]
Kouame M.
6-27-5
Majchrzak K.
Tien L.[20]
6-24-66-2
Fils A.[28]
Blanch D.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Landaluce M.
Darderi L.[17]
6-36-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Rublev A.[15]
6-756-26-4
Berrettini M.
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Ruud C.[11]
6-47-67
Michelsen A.
Norrie C.[23]
7-56-746-4
Medvedev D.[9]
Sakamoto R.
6-7106-36-1
Khachanov K.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Cazaux A.
7-616-1
Fritz T.[6]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-726-3
Tsitsipas S.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-37-63
Moutet C.[30]
Machac T.
6-01-66-4
Atmane T.
Rinderknech A.[26]
7-646-3
Cilic M.
Nakashima B.[27]
2-66-47-67
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fonseca J.
6-46-4
R128
Bautista Agut R.
Duckworth J.
7-637-64
Damm M.
Fearnley J.
6-00-0
Bergs Z.
Brooksby J.
7-56-2
Machac T.
Nava E.
2-66-46-1
Walton A.
Baez S.
6-26-2
Cazaux A.
Barrios Vera T.
7-56-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-666-3
Navone M.
Basilashvili N.
7-676-3
Sakamoto R.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-67-67
Landaluce M.
Giron M.
6-37-66
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-26-4
Opelka R.
Borges N.
6-766-27-65
Berrettini M.
Muller A.
6-46-2
Tabilo A.
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Dzumhur D.
Buse I.
6-767-666-1
Diallo G.
Wu Y.
6-27-63
Tirante T.
Royer V.
7-56-797-65
Shevchenko A.
Arnaldi M.
7-656-756-2
Kouame M.
Svajda Z.
5-76-46-4
Blanch D.
Struff J.
6-33-66-3
Halys Q.
Draxl L.
6-746-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-1
Atmane T.
Altmaier D.
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
2-66-37-63
Collignon R.
Dimitrov G.
7-634-67-66
Tsitsipas S.
Fery A.
6-17-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shapovalov D.
7-56-3
Michelsen A.
Bellucci M.
6-26-1
Mannarino A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Jodar R.
Hanfmann Y.
6-44-66-1
Cilic M.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Marozsan F.
6-43-66-2