Jaime Faria vs Rei Sakamoto — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
POR2
Jaime Faria
#72ATP
1735ELO
1624Grass ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLL
3 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
JPN27
Rei Sakamoto
#157ATP
1608ELO
1467Grass ELO
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Faria J.
7-6 4-6 6-3 6-4
Sakamoto R.
Faria J.
74663
Sakamoto R.
66341

Jaime Faria won the Wimbledon final, defeating Rei Sakamoto 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4. Faria served 20 aces and committed 11 double faults, while converting all of his break points and winning 80% of his first-serve points. Faria secured 3 service breaks to Sakamoto's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Jaime Faria closed it out in four sets, 7–6 4–6 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Faria J.Sakamoto R.
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Even
6.8
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Faria J.Sakamoto R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
54
49
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
87
Break points won·Clear edge
22
8
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Faria J.70%
Sakamoto R.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Faria J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Faria J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Sakamoto R.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1504
6.5Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1652
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Faria J.Sakamoto R.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
76

Faria J.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sakamoto R.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw