Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
Brandon Nakashima
USA28
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 5th on
Daniel Altmaier
GER
Daniel Altmaier
#60ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLWLW
Nakashima B.
6-2 6-1
Altmaier D.
Nakashima B.
662
Altmaier D.
210

Brandon Nakashima defeated Daniel Altmaier in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-2, 6-1 on hard courts. Nakashima converted 57% of his break points and won 92% of his first-serve points, while Altmaier was unable to capitalize on any break point opportunities. Nakashima served six aces to Altmaier's two and committed one double fault to Altmaier's three, securing the win with four service breaks to Altmaier's none.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-27AcapulcoR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-3 3-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
Nakashima B.Altmaier D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nakashima B.Altmaier D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
46
Break points saved·Even
96
92
Break points won·Slight edge
3
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
65
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Nakashima B.75%
Altmaier D.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nakashima B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nakashima B.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Altmaier D.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+136 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1652
6.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1734
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nakashima B.Altmaier D.
Freshness·Dominant
52
84

Nakashima B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Altmaier D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw