Federico Cina vs Daniel MichalskiKitzbuhel Qualifying Semi-final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#184ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
KÜCHENMEISTER · 1st on
#299ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Cina F.
6-2 3-6 6-1
Michalski D.
Cina F.
6362
Michalski D.
2611

Federico Cina defeated Daniel Michalski in the Kitzbuhel semifinals, advancing with a 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 victory. Cina served nine aces and committed one double fault, while Michalski had no aces and six double faults. Cina converted 44% of his break points and won four service breaks to Michalski's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Cina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
27
Break points saved·Dominant
87
24
Break points won·Slight edge
32
26
Deciding sets·Clear edge
52
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Cina F.79%
Michalski D.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cina F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+204 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1386
7.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1435
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
86

Cina F.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Michalski D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw