Federico Cina vs Calvin Hemery — Gstaad Qualifying Final
Cina F.
Federico Cina faces Calvin Hemery in the Gstaad qualifying final on clay. Federico Cina holds the paper edge — ranked #174, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cina F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Stage: Calvin Hemery defends last year's round of 32.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 7 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.