Daniel Michalski vs Calvin HemeryGstaad Qualifying Semi-final

Gstaad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#302ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#291ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
Michalski D.
6-7 6-2 3-6
Hemery C.
Michalski D.
62631
Hemery C.
77262

Calvin Hemery broke serve in the third set to take control and defeat Daniel Michalski 7-6 2-6 6-3 in the Gstaad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Daniel Michalski converted 2 of 6 break points; Calvin Hemery converted 2 of 2 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Michalski D.
Hemery C.
Break points won
2/6
2/2
Break points saved
0/2
4/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michalski D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Hemery C.

Hemery C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Michalski D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
30
43
Break points saved·Dominant
24
85
Break points won·Clear edge
26
3
Deciding sets·Slight edge
68
62
Tiebreaks·Even
69
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:20 UTC
Michalski D.45%
Hemery C.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1386
Surface ELO
5.8+63 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1435
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1439
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
89

Michalski D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Hemery C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 39%