Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova — Athens Round of 32
Monnet C.
Carole Monnet faces Rebeka Masarova in the Athens round of 32 on hard. Rebeka Masarova holds the paper edge — ranked #155, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Masarova R. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Carole Monnet 0 games in 14 days, Rebeka Masarova 55.
- Under pressure: Rebeka Masarova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs Carole Monnet's 3).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMonnet C.: 18 days rest · Masarova R.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.