Aoi Ito vs Yasmine Mansouri — Athens Qualifying Final
Ito A.
Aoi Ito faces Yasmine Mansouri in the Athens qualifying final on hard. Aoi Ito is the paper favourite — ranked #228, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage — but Yasmine Mansouri rides a 4-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Ito A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Yasmine Mansouri edged E. Tsetsou in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
- Win streak: Yasmine Mansouri arrives on a 4-match winning run.
- Fatigue load: Aoi Ito carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.