Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktoriya TomovaAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#38WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWWL
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#174WTA
1626ELO
1586Hard ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWLWW
Krejcikova B.
vs
Tomova V.

Barbora Krejcikova faces Viktoriya Tomova in the Athens round of 32 on hard. Barbora Krejcikova holds the paper edge — ranked #38, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Krejcikova B.82%
Tomova V.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krejcikova B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+234 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1586
8.6Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1626
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

7 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tomova V.

Tomova V.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Serve advantage — Krejcikova B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
28
Break points saved·Dominant
93
30
Break points won·Even
92
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Krejcikova B.Tomova V.
39
Serve
57
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Krejcikova B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Tomova V.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.