Tereza Valentova vs Sofia CostoulasAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#54WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$549kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLLLWWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#156WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWW
Valentova T.
vs
Costoulas S.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Valentova T.80%
Costoulas S.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Valentova T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+227 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1569
7.3Overall Elo 1818
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1565
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
54%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Valentova T.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Costoulas S.

Costoulas S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Valentova T.Costoulas S.
36
Serve
56
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Valentova T.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Costoulas S.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.