Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#114WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLWWLW
Blinkova A.
vs
Sasnovich A.

Anna Blinkova faces Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Athens round of 32 on hard. Aliaksandra Sasnovich holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Blinkova A.42%
Sasnovich A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1654
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1726
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
2.42 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Serve advantage — Sasnovich A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
58
79
Break points won·Even
94
93
Deciding sets·Even
68
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Blinkova A.Sasnovich A.
0
Serve
37
47
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
100

Blinkova A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich7-5 6-1
2019-12-16LimogesR16hardAliaksandra Sasnovich3-6 6-1 7-5