Max Basing vs Luca Castelnuovo — Nottingham 4 Round of 16

Nottingham 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

GBR

Max Basing

#329ATP

23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWLLLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 9 July 2026 · 11:00

grass

SUI

Luca Castelnuovo

#410ATP

1176ELO

1260Grass ELO

29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WLLLWLLLLL

Basing M.

Castelnuovo L.

Max Basing faces Luca Castelnuovo in the Nottingham 4 round of 16 on grass. Max Basing holds the paper edge — ranked #329.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Max Basing 116 games in 14 days, Luca Castelnuovo 40.
Form trend: Max Basing's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Luca Castelnuovo's has cooled.
Last match: Max Basing recovered from a 0–6 opening set to beat Filippo Romano.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Basing M.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Castelnuovo L.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.24 of last 9 on grass

Surface form

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Basing M.Surgingearly

Castelnuovo L.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

1 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season

Basing M.Castelnuovo L.

1st serve in·Slight edge

68%

58%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

61%

74%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

51%

Service points won·Slight edge

58%

64%

Return points won·Clear edge

21%

36%

Break points saved·Even

50%

52%

Aces / match·Dominant

0.0

6.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.0

3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Basing M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Castelnuovo L.

Castelnuovo L.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Basing M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Basing M.Castelnuovo L.

Freshness·Clear edge

Basing M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Castelnuovo L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.