Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Shintaro MochizukiNottingham Round of 16

Nottingham · Tennis · Round of 16
#145ATP
1606ELO
1541Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#114ATP
1475ELO
1520Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Mcdonald M.
5-7
Mochizuki S.
Mcdonald M.
50
Mochizuki S.
72

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-5 in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Shintaro Mochizuki had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass. Shintaro Mochizuki claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensQ2hardMackenzie Mcdonald4-6 6-2 6-2
2022-09-26SeoulR16hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
52%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
6
Break points saved·Clear edge
84
65
Break points won·Dominant
67
22
Deciding sets·Even
8
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
54

Mcdonald M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw