Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Shintaro MochizukiSeoul Round of 16

Seoul · ATP · Round of 16
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Mcdonald M.
6-3 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Mcdonald M.
662
Mochizuki S.
340

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-4 in the Seoul round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensQ2hardMackenzie Mcdonald4-6 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Mochizuki S.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
74
Break points won·Slight edge
66
55
Deciding sets·Even
45
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+179 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1425
6.7Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
77

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast