Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 16

AUS

Ajla Tomljanovic

#109WTA

1719ELO

1657Grass ELO

33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLWLLLL

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

UKR

Dayana Yastremska

#49WTA

1816ELO

1700Grass ELO

$373kYTD

$6.4MCAREER

26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWWWWW

Ajla Tomljanovic faces Dayana Yastremska in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Dayana Yastremska holds the paper edge — ranked #49, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Ajla Tomljanovic dropped just 4 games past Jessica Bouzas Maneiro.
Last match: Dayana Yastremska dropped just 3 games past Sara Bejlek.
Head-to-head: Dayana Yastremska leads the head-to-head 3–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Roland Garros 2024.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC

Tomljanovic A.33%

Yastremska D.67%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yastremska D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Tomljanovic A.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Yastremska D.

7.3

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.5Grass Elo 1657

Surface ELO

5.5+43 Grass Elo edge

3.4Overall Elo 1719

ELO gap

6.6Overall Elo 1816

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

4.95 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.17 of last 10 on grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

15°CPartly cloudy

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

0–3

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2024-05-27	Roland Garros	R128	clay	Dayana Yastremska	3-6 6-3 6-3
2019-09-23	Wuhan	R64	hard	Dayana Yastremska	7-6(5) 6-2
2019-01-28	Hua Hin	F	hard	Dayana Yastremska	6-2 2-6 7-6(3)

Statistics

Recent form

Tomljanovic A.Yastremska D.

69%1st serve in+7%62%

63%1st serve points won+3%60%

43%2nd serve points won+5%48%

57%Service points won+1%56%

45%Return points won+1%44%

58%Break points saved+5%53%

2.1Aces / match+0.12.2

5.6Double faults / match+0.55.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska — s Hertogenbosch Round of 16