Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkels Hertogenbosch Round of 16

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 16
#45WTA
1870ELO
1763Grass ELO
$521kYTD
$18MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLWWW
Sets
Thursday, 11 June 2026 ·
grass
#97WTA
1698ELO
1513Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
WWWLLLLLWW

Barbora Krejcikova faces Hanne Vandewinkel in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Barbora Krejcikova is the paper favourite — ranked #45, a roughly 250-point grass Elo advantage — but Hanne Vandewinkel rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Krejcikova B.82%
Vandewinkel H.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krejcikova B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+250 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Grass Elo 1513
6.6Overall Elo 1870
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1698
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.63 of last 5 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
15°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
61%1st serve in+6%67%
71%1st serve points won+6%65%
46%2nd serve points won+1%45%
61%Service points won+2%59%
44%Return points won+3%47%
59%Break points saved59%
4.3Aces / match+0.93.4
4.7Double faults / match+2.22.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.