Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic — s Hertogenbosch Round of 16
POR
CROAround the match
Cilic made a successful return to competition at 's-Hertogenbosch, defeating Shapovalov in his comeback match.
Cilic M.ATP Tour ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Nuno Borges faces Marin Cilic in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. Marin Cilic holds the paper edge — ranked #47, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Key context
- Last match: Marin Cilic dropped the opening set before beating Denis Shapovalov 6–7 6–4 7–5.
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hong Kong 2026.
- Fatigue load: Nuno Borges carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Nuno Borges defends last year's quarter-final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Cilic M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | R16 | hard | Nuno Borges | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-04-26 | Estoril | R16 | clay | Marin Cilic | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.