Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger — Birmingham Semi-final

Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
CZE
Nikola Bartunkova
#69WTA
1732ELO
1541Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 1st on
USAQ
Ashlyn Krueger
#120WTA
1711ELO
1576Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL

Nikola Bartunkova broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Ashlyn Krueger 6-4 7-6 in the Birmingham semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 7: A 13-point game with four deuces went Ashlyn Krueger's way.
  • Set 1, game 7: Ashlyn Krueger saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Nikola Bartunkova converted 3 of 10 break points; Ashlyn Krueger converted 2 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Bartunkova N.57%
Krueger A.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bartunkova N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Krueger A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1541
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1711
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bartunkova N.
6792
Krueger A.
4670

Conditions

Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Bartunkova N.Krueger A.
57%1st serve in+10%67%
71%1st serve points won+7%64%
48%2nd serve points won+2%46%
61%Service points won+3%58%
43%Return points won+2%41%
59%Break points saved+2%57%
4.4Aces / match+1.25.6
4.5Double faults / match+0.55

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Eala A.
Hon P.
6-06-2
Minnen G.
Charaeva A.
3-61-6
Sawangkaew M.
Klimovicova L.
6-47-5
Day K.
Vandewinkel H.
7-626-2
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-1
Masarova R.
Martincova T.
6-766-16-1
Naef C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Stoiana M.
Sun L.
4-67-686-2
Bartunkova N.
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Knutson G.
Garland J.
7-666-3
Stojsavljevic M.
Jones E.
3-66-17-5
Kalieva E.
Gibson T.
7-52-66-4
Tomljanovic A.
Swan K.
6-742-3
Preston T.
Dudeney A.
6-46-746-3
Krueger A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-3
Hibino N.
Tjen J.
4-66-32-6
Eala A.
Charaeva A.
6-27-5
Sawangkaew M.
Day K.
6-46-1
Maria T.
Masarova R.
4-63-6
Naef C.
Stoiana M.
5-76-26-75
Bartunkova N.
Knutson G.
6-47-64
Stojsavljevic M.
Kalieva E.
6-46-726-2
Swan K.
Preston T.
4-62-6
Krueger A.
Tjen J.
6-16-3
Eala A.
Sawangkaew M.
6-36-2
Masarova R.
Stoiana M.
6-43-66-0
Bartunkova N.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-46-787-64
Preston T.
Krueger A.
6-23-64-6
Eala A.
Masarova R.
6-24-66-3
Bartunkova N.
Krueger A.
6-47-67
Eala A.
Bartunkova N.
5-76-37-5