Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova — Birmingham Final

Birmingham · CHALLENGER · Final
PHI
Alexandra Eala
#33WTA
1839ELO
1720Grass ELO
$634kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
CZE
Nikola Bartunkova
#61WTA
1732ELO
1541Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWLW

Alexandra Eala recovered from a set down to defeat Nikola Bartunkova 5-7 6-3 7-5 in the Birmingham final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 5: A 13-point game with four deuces went Alexandra Eala's way.
  • Set 3, game 5: Alexandra Eala broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Alexandra Eala converted 4 of 11 break points; Nikola Bartunkova converted 3 of 10 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC
Eala A.71%
Bartunkova N.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Eala A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bartunkova N.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+179 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1541
5.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1732
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Eala A.
5672
Bartunkova N.
7351

Conditions

Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Eala A.Bartunkova N.
64%1st serve in+7%57%
61%1st serve points won+10%71%
49%2nd serve points won+1%48%
57%Service points won+4%61%
43%Return points won43%
48%Break points saved+11%59%
0.9Aces / match+3.54.4
2.3Double faults / match+2.24.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Eala A.
Hon P.
6-06-2
Minnen G.
Charaeva A.
3-61-6
Sawangkaew M.
Klimovicova L.
6-47-5
Day K.
Vandewinkel H.
7-626-2
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-1
Masarova R.
Martincova T.
6-766-16-1
Naef C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Stoiana M.
Sun L.
4-67-686-2
Bartunkova N.
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Knutson G.
Garland J.
7-666-3
Stojsavljevic M.
Jones E.
3-66-17-5
Kalieva E.
Gibson T.
7-52-66-4
Tomljanovic A.
Swan K.
6-742-3
Preston T.
Dudeney A.
6-46-746-3
Krueger A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-3
Hibino N.
Tjen J.
4-66-32-6
Eala A.
Charaeva A.
6-27-5
Sawangkaew M.
Day K.
6-46-1
Maria T.
Masarova R.
4-63-6
Naef C.
Stoiana M.
5-76-26-75
Bartunkova N.
Knutson G.
6-47-64
Stojsavljevic M.
Kalieva E.
6-46-726-2
Swan K.
Preston T.
4-62-6
Krueger A.
Tjen J.
6-16-3
Eala A.
Sawangkaew M.
6-36-2
Masarova R.
Stoiana M.
6-43-66-0
Bartunkova N.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-46-787-64
Preston T.
Krueger A.
6-23-64-6
Eala A.
Masarova R.
6-24-66-3
Bartunkova N.
Krueger A.
6-47-67
Eala A.
Bartunkova N.
5-76-37-5