Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic — Australian Open Final

Australian Open · ATP · Final
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Novak Djokovic
SRB4
Novak Djokovic
#7ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5
Djokovic N.
Alcaraz C.
26673
Djokovic N.
62351

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djokovic 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 in the Australian Open final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

Head to head

4–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(4) 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenQFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsFclayNovak Djokovic7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2024-07-01WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2 7-6(4)
2023-11-13Tour FinalsSFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersFhardNovak Djokovic5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4)
2023-07-03WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosSFclayNovak Djokovic6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Djokovic N.
75
Serve
68
95
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
68%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
7.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
99
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcaraz C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 71 days (−1.2)
Djokovic N.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 78 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.1+67 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 2022
7.4Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 2059
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
8.6
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
7.4
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alcaraz C.Djokovic N.
Freshness·
—
62

Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
2-66-26-37-5
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Sinner J.[2]
3-66-34-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
6-47-656-736-747-5
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Musetti L.[5]
4-63-63-1
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[8]
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[6]
7-56-26-1
Zverev A.[3]
Tien L.[25]
6-36-756-17-63
R16
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.[16]
W/O
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-26-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Paul T.[19]
7-666-47-5
Musetti L.[5]
Fritz T.[9]
6-27-56-4
Tien L.[25]
Medvedev D.[11]
6-46-06-3
Sinner J.[2]
Darderi L.[22]
6-16-37-62
De Minaur A.[6]
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-16-1
Shelton B.[8]
Ruud C.[12]
3-66-46-36-4
R32
Paul T.[19]
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
6-16-10-0
Ruud C.[12]
Cilic M.
6-46-43-67-5
Cerundolo F.[18]
Rublev A.[13]
6-37-646-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Marozsan F.
6-754-67-56-06-3
Zverev A.[3]
Norrie C.[26]
7-54-66-36-1
Darderi L.[22]
Khachanov K.[15]
7-653-66-36-4
Fritz T.[9]
Wawrinka S.
7-652-66-46-4
Tien L.[25]
Borges N.
7-696-46-2
Mensik J.[16]
Quinn E.
6-27-657-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-47-64
Sinner J.[2]
Spizzirri E.
4-66-36-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Tiafoe F.[29]
6-36-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Etcheverry T.
7-647-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Moutet C.[32]
6-26-46-1
Shelton B.[8]
Vacherot V.[30]
6-46-47-65
Musetti L.[5]
Machac T.
5-76-46-25-76-2
R64
Moutet C.[32]
Zheng M.
3-66-16-32-0
Tiafoe F.[29]
Comesana F.
6-46-34-66-2
Spizzirri E.
Wu Y.
6-26-46-744-66-3
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-47-656-1
Paul T.[19]
Tirante T.
6-36-46-2
Vacherot V.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-16-34-66-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
7-646-36-2
Shelton B.[8]
Sweeny D.
6-36-26-2
Cilic M.
Shapovalov D.[21]
6-46-36-2
Medvedev D.[11]
Halys Q.
6-796-36-46-2
Bublik A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
7-56-47-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Opelka R.
6-37-635-74-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Fery A.
7-646-16-3
Khachanov K.[15]
Basavareddy N.
6-16-46-3
Mensik J.[16]
Jodar R.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-37-56-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Maestrelli F.
6-36-26-2
Darderi L.[22]
Baez S.
6-31-66-46-3
Tien L.[25]
Shevchenko A.
6-25-76-16-0
Wawrinka S.
Gea A.
4-66-33-67-57-63
Zverev A.[3]
Muller A.
6-34-66-36-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.
6-796-36-26-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shang J.
7-666-26-3
Sinner J.[2]
Duckworth J.
6-16-46-2
Fritz T.[9]
Kopriva V.
6-16-47-64
De Minaur A.[6]
Medjedovic H.
6-756-26-26-1
Machac T.
Tsitsipas S.[31]
6-43-67-657-65
Marozsan F.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-47-65
Musetti L.[5]
Sonego L.
6-36-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-1
Norrie C.[26]
Nava E.
6-17-634-67-65
Rublev A.[13]
Faria J.
6-46-34-67-5
R128
Borges N.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
3-66-46-40-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Walton A.
6-37-626-2
Maestrelli F.
Atmane T.
6-43-66-746-16-1
Mensik J.[16]
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-62-67-616-3
Gea A.
Lehecka J.[17]
7-57-617-5
Duckworth J.
Prizmic D.
7-643-61-67-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-23-64-66-36-4
Vacherot V.[30]
Damm M.
6-46-46-4
Shelton B.[8]
Humbert U.
6-37-627-65
Basavareddy N.
Oconnell C.
4-67-676-736-26-3
Opelka R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-36-4
Sinner J.[2]
Gaston H.
6-26-10-0
Musetti L.[5]
Collignon R.
4-67-637-53-2
Shapovalov D.[21]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-636-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Misolic F.
6-26-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Svajda Z.
7-54-66-47-63
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Munar J.
Svrcina D.
3-66-26-757-56-3
Moutet C.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-47-616-3
Fucsovics M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-656-16-2
Halys Q.
Tabilo A.
6-26-27-62
Fery A.
Cobolli F.[20]
7-616-46-1
Sweeny D.
Monfils G.
6-737-56-47-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-26-3
Machac T.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-46-3
Darderi L.[22]
Garin C.
7-657-57-63
Djokovic N.[4]
Martinez P.
6-36-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Michelsen A.
4-66-46-35-76-3
Quinn E.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-26-36-2
Tirante T.
Vukic A.
7-56-26-2
Faria J.
Blockx A.
6-33-66-36-4
Bublik A.[10]
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Spizzirri E.
Fonseca J.[28]
6-42-66-16-2
Cilic M.
Altmaier D.
6-06-07-63
Baez S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-43-65-76-3
Fritz T.[9]
Royer V.
7-655-76-16-3
Zverev A.[3]
Diallo G.
6-716-16-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Navone M.
6-26-736-46-2
Nava E.
Jacquet K.
6-27-56-754-67-66
Shevchenko A.
Ymer E.
3-67-56-46-1
Kopriva V.
Struff J.
4-66-22-66-36-1
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.[24]
6-36-46-726-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Nakashima B.[27]
6-34-67-617-63
Norrie C.[26]
Bonzi B.
6-06-724-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[31]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-36-26-2
Tiafoe F.[29]
Kubler J.
7-646-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Fearnley J.
7-627-53-67-63
Zheng M.
Korda S.
6-46-43-66-706-3
Sonego L.
Taberner C.
6-46-06-3
Muller A.
Popyrin A.
2-66-33-67-657-64
Hurkacz H.
Bergs Z.
6-767-666-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Draxl L.
7-56-06-4
Wawrinka S.
Djere L.
5-76-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Nardi L.
7-54-66-46-2
Rublev A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-26-3
Ruud C.[12]
Bellucci M.
6-16-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Zhang Z.
6-37-606-3
Comesana F.
Kypson P.
6-26-33-66-3
Thompson J.
Cerundolo J.
6-737-56-16-1
Shang J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-726-46-0
Paul T.[19]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-3
Jodar R.
Sakamoto R.
7-666-15-74-66-3
Medvedev D.[11]
De Jong J.
7-56-27-62
Tien L.[25]
Giron M.
7-624-63-67-636-2