Novak Djokovic vs Carlos AlcarazTour Finals Semi-final

Tour Finals · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 November 2023
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Djokovic N.
6-3 6-2
Alcaraz C.
Djokovic N.
662
Alcaraz C.
320

Novak Djokovic defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 6-2 in the Tour Finals semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–4, but Novak Djokovic had arrived on a 11-match winning run. Novak Djokovic narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

Head to head

45
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(4) 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenQFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsFclayNovak Djokovic7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2024-07-01WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2 7-6(4)
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersFhardNovak Djokovic5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4)
2023-07-03WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosSFclayNovak Djokovic6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Djokovic N.Alcaraz C.
68
Serve
74
62
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
99
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
7.1+67 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2162
10.0
H2H
0.0
10.0
Surface form
5.7
10.011-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.7
Minutes 14d
9.0
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
49

Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast