Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz — Cincinnati Masters Final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Final
Novak Djokovic
SRB2
Novak Djokovic
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Djokovic N.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Alcaraz C.
Djokovic N.
579772
Alcaraz C.
767641

Novak Djokovic defeated Carlos Alcaraz 5-7 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–4, defending last year's quarter-final. Novak Djokovic narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

Head to head

4–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(4) 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenQFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsFclayNovak Djokovic7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2024-07-01WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2 7-6(4)
2023-11-13Tour FinalsSFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosSFclayNovak Djokovic6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Djokovic N.Alcaraz C.
68
Serve
74
62
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Djokovic N.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Djokovic N.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Even
99
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Djokovic N.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Alcaraz C.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
7.1+67 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.9
Surface form
7.6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.3
Country comfort
6.8
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Djokovic N.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
49
—

Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Djokovic N.[2]
Alcaraz C.[1]
5-77-677-64
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[2]
Zverev A.[16]
7-657-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hurkacz H.
2-67-646-3
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[2]
Fritz T.[9]
6-06-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Purcell M.
4-66-36-4
Zverev A.[16]
Mannarino A.
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.
Popyrin A.
6-17-68
R16
Mannarino A.
Mcdonald M.
6-43-0
Fritz T.[9]
Lajovic D.
5-0
Hurkacz H.
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-36-4
Popyrin A.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-21-66-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Paul T.[14]
7-666-706-3
Purcell M.
Wawrinka S.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[16]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-45-76-4
Djokovic N.[2]
Monfils G.
6-36-2
R32
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Shelton B.
7-637-62
Mcdonald M.
Rune H.[6]
6-42-0
Ruusuvuori E.
Rublev A.[7]
7-6105-77-63
Mannarino A.
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-46-4
Djokovic N.[2]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-40-0
Popyrin A.
Jarry N.
W/O
Alcaraz C.[1]
Thompson J.
7-54-66-3
Paul T.[14]
Humbert U.
6-17-64
Wawrinka S.
Tiafoe F.[10]
6-36-4
Purcell M.
Ruud C.[5]
6-43-66-4
Zverev A.[16]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[3]
Musetti L.
6-36-2
Lajovic D.
Sinner J.[8]
6-47-64
Fritz T.[9]
Sonego L.
6-47-61
Monfils G.
De Minaur A.
7-56-4
Hurkacz H.
Coric B.[15]
5-76-36-3
R64
Thompson J.
Isner J.
7-657-62
Jarry N.
Safiullin R.
4-66-36-3
Mcdonald M.
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-1
Mannarino A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[16]
Dimitrov G.
6-26-2
Shelton B.
Eubanks C.
5-76-46-4
Paul T.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
7-57-62
De Minaur A.
Wolf J.
6-03-66-1
Humbert U.
Fils A.
6-43-66-2
Tiafoe F.[10]
Griekspoor T.
6-46-776-4
Wawrinka S.
Nakashima B.
6-36-756-3
Coric B.[15]
Korda S.
7-656-4
Popyrin A.
Altmaier D.
6-756-46-4
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Berrettini M.
4-66-26-3
Musetti L.
Evans D.
6-46-3
Lajovic D.
Cerundolo F.
6-36-4
Sonego L.
Shevchenko A.
6-33-66-3
Fritz T.[9]
Lehecka J.
7-6146-2
Monfils G.
Norrie C.[13]
3-66-46-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-3
Nishioka Y.
Barrere G.
6-47-5
Ruusuvuori E.
Moutet C.
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.
Kokkinakis T.
7-623-67-61
Purcell M.
Harris L.
6-46-4