Novak Djokovic vs Carlos AlcarazAustralian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · ATP · Quarter-final
#7ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Djokovic N.
4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Djokovic N.
46663
Alcaraz C.
64341

Novak Djokovic defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–4, defending last year's quarter-final. Novak Djokovic narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

Head to head

45
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(4) 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsFclayNovak Djokovic7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2024-07-01WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-2 7-6(4)
2023-11-13Tour FinalsSFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersFhardNovak Djokovic5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4)
2023-07-03WimbledonFgrassCarlos Alcaraz1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosSFclayNovak Djokovic6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1
2022-05-02Madrid MastersSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Djokovic N.Alcaraz C.
68
Serve
75
62
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.1
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
99
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 55 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
7.1+67 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2162
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.5
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.4
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
62

Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
R128
Faria J.
Kotov P.
6-16-17-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shang J.
7-615-2
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[10]
7-52-1
Martinez P.
Darderi L.
6-34-1
Halys Q.
Walton A.
4-64-66-47-647-5
Nishioka Y.
Dougaz A.
3-66-47-636-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-656-36-3
Altmaier D.
Comesana F.
6-23-67-644-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Virtanen O.
3-67-646-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-56-4
Hurkacz H.[18]
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-4
Fritz T.[4]
Brooksby J.
6-26-06-3
Lehecka J.[24]
Tu L.
6-13-66-37-61
Fearnley J.
Kyrgios N.
7-636-37-62
Shelton B.[21]
Nakashima B.
7-637-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Tabilo A.[23]
1-66-26-37-61
Thompson J.[27]
Koepfer D.
7-636-44-66-3
Kokkinakis T.
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-37-65
Rune H.[13]
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-43-66-4
Machac T.[26]
Nagal S.
6-36-17-5
Borges N.
Muller A.
6-726-36-27-5
Giron M.
Hanfmann Y.
2-67-56-17-5
Mensik J.
Basilashvili N.
6-16-736-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Lajovic D.
7-53-66-33-66-3
Nishikori K.
Monteiro T.
4-66-747-56-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-46-47-68
Cerundolo F.[31]
Bublik A.
7-616-36-2
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-56-32-66-4
Paul T.[12]
Oconnell C.
6-23-66-16-757-5
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-757-55-77-5
Draper J.[15]
Navone M.
4-66-33-66-36-2
Musetti L.[16]
Arnaldi M.
7-644-67-656-3
Duckworth J.
Stricker D.
6-26-46-2
Korda S.[22]
Klein L.
6-30-66-37-66
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-03-66-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Samrej K.
6-24-63-66-16-2
Zverev A.[2]
Pouille L.
6-46-46-4
Garin C.
Coric B.
7-56-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-3
Habib H.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-47-66
Diaz Acosta F.
Bergs Z.
6-756-41-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Onclin G.
3-67-646-36-2
Monfils G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[30]
7-676-36-766-756-4
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
Goffin D.
6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
Baez S.[28]
6-35-73-66-06-3
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
Coria F.
6-36-734-67-56-1
Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-4
Moutet C.
Popyrin A.[25]
4-66-36-46-4
Tien L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
Wawrinka S.
6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
Struff J.
6-36-04-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
Nardi L.
6-717-635-76-16-2
Schoolkate T.
Daniel T.
6-767-646-16-4
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-31-67-52-66-1
Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
Etcheverry T.
Cobolli F.[32]
6-786-37-56-1
Krueger M.
Hijikata R.
6-46-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Gigante M.
7-657-56-4