Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan ThompsonTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#156ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Nakashima B.
6-7 7-6 6-2
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.
667762
Thompson J.
786421

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jordan Thompson 6-7 7-6 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 16. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-2 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassJordan Thompson2-6 2-6 6-4 7-6(4) 6-3
2022-07-25AtlantaR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
2022-02-07DallasR16hardJordan Thompson7-5 7-6(1)
2021-07-26AtlantaQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 7-5
2021-07-19Los CabosQFhardBrandon Nakashima6-3 4-6 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Thompson J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Thompson J.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.0
8.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
70
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
13
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1733
5.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1772
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Nakashima B.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%