Jordan Thompson vs Brandon NakashimaDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#156ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 February 2022
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Thompson J.
7-5 7-6
Nakashima B.
Thompson J.
7772
Nakashima B.
5610

Jordan Thompson defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-5 7-6 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Jordan Thompson narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-2 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassJordan Thompson2-6 2-6 6-4 7-6(4) 6-3
2022-07-25AtlantaR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
2021-07-26AtlantaQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 7-5
2021-07-19Los CabosQFhardBrandon Nakashima6-3 4-6 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Thompson J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Thompson J.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
56
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
24
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1733
Surface ELO
5.5+55 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1839
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.1
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast