Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan ThompsonAtlanta Quarter-final

Atlanta · ATP · Quarter-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 July 2021
hard
#156ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Nakashima B.
7-6 7-5
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.
7772
Thompson J.
6550

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jordan Thompson 7-6 7-5 in the Atlanta quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-2 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassJordan Thompson2-6 2-6 6-4 7-6(4) 6-3
2022-07-25AtlantaR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
2022-02-07DallasR16hardJordan Thompson7-5 7-6(1)
2021-07-19Los CabosQFhardBrandon Nakashima6-3 4-6 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Thompson J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Thompson J.
61
Serve
23
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.5
7.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
70
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
13
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1733
5.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1772
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.3
Surface form
5.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
1.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast