Jordan Thompson vs Brandon NakashimaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#156ATP
1772ELO
1709Grass ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
#31ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Thompson J.
2-6 2-6 6-4 7-6 6-3
Nakashima B.
Thompson J.
2267763
Nakashima B.
6646432

Jordan Thompson defeated Brandon Nakashima 2-6 2-6 6-4 7-6 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jordan Thompson narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassBrandon Nakashima6-3 6-2 6-2
2022-07-25AtlantaR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
2022-02-07DallasR16hardJordan Thompson7-5 7-6(1)
2021-07-26AtlantaQFhardBrandon Nakashima7-6(5) 7-5
2021-07-19Los CabosQFhardBrandon Nakashima6-3 4-6 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Thompson J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
56
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
24
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1709
Surface ELO
5.2+48 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
5.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
R128
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Baez S.
7-673-66-37-62
Choinski J.
Lajovic D.
5-77-646-26-2
Djere L.
Cressy M.
6-757-637-687-67
Vesely J.
Korda S.[22]
7-674-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Novak D.
6-756-47-656-1
Safiullin R.
Bautista Agut R.[20]
2-67-676-746-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Mcdonald M.
6-736-46-46-4
Muller A.
Rinderknech A.[25]
7-651-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-66-23-66-3
Zverev A.[2]
Brouwer G.
6-47-647-65
De Minaur A.[5]
Coppejans K.
6-756-36-37-62
Dimitrov G.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fils A.[20]
7-636-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-706-36-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Fery A.
7-56-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Ofner S.
6-46-46-4
Paul T.[21]
Mochizuki S.
7-56-36-1
Norrie C.[26]
Machac T.
6-34-66-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-42-64-67-56-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Cachin P.
6-36-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
Daniel T.
6-46-33-64-66-3
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.[28]
2-62-66-47-646-3
Ruud C.[11]
Lokoli L.
6-15-76-46-3
Mayot H.
Bonzi B.
6-36-47-5
Stricker D.
Popyrin A.
3-66-36-24-67-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Chardy J.
6-06-27-5
Jarry N.[25]
Cecchinato M.
4-66-26-46-1
Watanuki Y.
Huesler M.
6-755-77-657-636-3
Berrettini M.
Sonego L.
6-756-37-676-3
Tiafoe F.[17]
Wu Y.
7-646-36-4
Ivashka I.
Coria F.
4-66-46-36-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Zhang Z.
2-67-637-663-66-2
Rune H.[6]
Loffhagen G.
7-646-36-2
Mannarino A.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-2
Giron M.
Dellien H.
7-626-46-4
Fucsovics M.
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6-46-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Borges N.
5-76-36-36-4
Eubanks C.
Monteiro T.
4-67-57-56-3
Oconnell C.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-44-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Thiem D.
3-67-616-26-757-68
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-26-2
Schwartzman D.
Kecmanovic M.
6-06-36-4
Vukic A.
Altmaier D.
6-37-613-67-5
Halys Q.
Evans D.[27]
6-26-36-756-4
Galan D.
Nishioka Y.[24]
6-46-36-3
Otte O.
Koepfer D.
7-56-37-69
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
6-36-36-4
Pella G.
Coric B.[13]
6-37-54-63-66-1
Moutet C.
Gasquet R.
6-37-57-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Albot R.
5-76-46-26-2
Barrere G.
Harris L.
7-56-747-56-3
Broady L.
Lestienne C.
6-16-37-5
Rublev A.[12]
Purcell M.
6-37-56-4
Karatsev A.
Van Assche L.
6-746-46-26-4
Goffin D.
Marozsan F.
6-25-76-26-0
Wolf J.
Couacaud E.
7-56-37-64
Marterer M.
Gojo B.
7-56-786-36-4
Mmoh M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-646-747-646-4
Musetti L.[14]
Varillas J.
6-36-17-5
Munar J.
Isner J.
4-66-36-46-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-755-76-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-57-56-4
Hurkacz H.[17]
Ramos A.
6-16-46-4
Murray A.
Peniston R.
6-36-06-1