Jessica Pegula vs Maria SakkariMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · WTA · Round of 64
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Pegula J.
7-5 6-4
Sakkari M.
Pegula J.
762
Sakkari M.
540

Jessica Pegula defeated Maria Sakkari 7-5 6-4 in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 6–5. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

65
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2023-09-25TokyoSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2023-07-31WashingtonSFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 4-6 6-2
2023-02-13DohaSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 4-6 6-1
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2FhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula7-6(0) 6-3
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 2-6 7-6(6)
2019-06-24EastbourneR64grassMaria Sakkari6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Sakkari M.
68
Serve
24
73
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
81
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+262 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1796
8.4Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1812
8.3
H2H
1.7
6.8
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
90

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw