Maria Sakkari vs Jessica Pegula — Doha Round of 16

Doha · WTA · Round of 16
Maria Sakkari
GRE6
Maria Sakkari
#37WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
Jessica Pegula
USA9
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Sakkari M.
6-4 7-5
Pegula J.
Sakkari M.
672
Pegula J.
450

Maria Sakkari defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 7-5 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 7–4, defending last year's semi-final, but Maria Sakkari had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

4–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR64hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-4
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2023-09-25TokyoSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2023-07-31WashingtonSFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 4-6 6-2
2023-02-13DohaSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 4-6 6-1
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2FhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula7-6(0) 6-3
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 2-6 7-6(6)
2019-06-24EastbourneR64grassMaria Sakkari6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Pegula J.
24
Serve
68
39
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sakkari M.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakkari M.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
96
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakkari M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Pegula J.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
8.2+262 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 2097
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.3
Surface form
6.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.1
Minutes 14d
8.4
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakkari M.Pegula J.
Freshness·Clear edge
92
79

Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 34 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[7]
Kontaveit A.[4]
6-26-0
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[7]
Sakkari M.[6]
6-46-3
Kontaveit A.[4]
Ostapenko J.[15]
6-16-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[7]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-26-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Gauff C.[14]
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[15]
Muguruza G.[5]
6-26-2
Kontaveit A.[4]
Jabeur O.[8]
6-46-1
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[7]
Kasatkina D.
6-36-0
Gauff C.[14]
Badosa P.[3]
6-26-3
Kontaveit A.[4]
Mertens E.[16]
6-30-66-2
Ostapenko J.[15]
Krejcikova B.[2]
6-36-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Martincova T.
6-13-66-3
Muguruza G.[5]
Brengle M.
6-06-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Pegula J.[9]
6-47-5
R32
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cornet A.
6-26-2
Mertens E.[16]
Kvitova P.
7-51-2
Brengle M.
Azarenka V.[12]
W/O
Swiatek I.[7]
Golubic V.
6-23-66-2
Gauff C.[14]
Garcia C.
6-27-63
Pegula J.[9]
Juvan K.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Li A.
6-36-3
Jabeur O.[8]
Sasnovich A.
1-67-56-3
Muguruza G.[5]
Cirstea S.
7-646-1
Ostapenko J.[15]
Anisimova A.
6-34-66-4
Kasatkina D.
Cristian J.
2-62-2
Kontaveit A.[4]
Konjuh A.
6-26-3
Badosa P.[3]
Tauson C.
6-16-2
Martincova T.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[2]
Linette M.
6-16-3
Teichmann J.
Van Uytvanck A.
7-697-5
R64
Van Uytvanck A.
Zvonareva V.
6-46-4
Teichmann J.
Kerber A.[13]
4-66-36-2
Cristian J.
Rybakina E.[11]
6-46-3
Kasatkina D.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-746-2
Golubic V.
Petkovic A.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[9]
Siniakova K.
6-36-2
Rus A.
Kudermetova V.
7-656-4
Martincova T.
Svitolina E.[10]
6-727-57-65
Mertens E.[16]
Paolini J.
6-32-67-5
Kvitova P.
Begu I.
6-36-1
Konjuh A.
Kostyuk M.
4-67-56-3
Brengle M.
Oz I.
7-56-3
Azarenka V.[12]
Putintseva Y.
5-76-27-5
Ostapenko J.[15]
Dodin O.
6-46-2
Anisimova A.
Haddad Maia B.
7-56-4
Linette M.
Riske Amritraj A.
2-67-656-1
Tauson C.
Bencic B.
6-43-66-3
Cirstea S.
Sherif M.
6-26-1
Garcia C.
Halep S.
6-46-3
Li A.
Kenin S.
6-36-756-3
Juvan K.
Voegele S.
6-46-2
Cornet A.
Samsonova L.
3-66-47-5
Sasnovich A.
Zhang S.
6-16-1
Gauff C.[14]
Rogers S.
6-26-3