Jessica Pegula vs Maria Sakkari — Guadalajara 2 Final

Guadalajara 2 · WTA · Final
Jessica Pegula
USA3
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
Maria Sakkari
GRE4
Maria Sakkari
#37WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Pegula J.
6-2 6-3
Sakkari M.
Pegula J.
662
Sakkari M.
230

Jessica Pegula defeated Maria Sakkari 6-2 6-3 in the Guadalajara 2 final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–5. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 7–5.

Key context

Head to head

6–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR64hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-4
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-1
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2023-09-25TokyoSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2023-07-31WashingtonSFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 4-6 6-2
2023-02-13DohaSFhardJessica Pegula6-2 4-6 6-1
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2022-02-21DohaR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula7-6(0) 6-3
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 2-6 7-6(6)
2019-06-24EastbourneR64grassMaria Sakkari6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Sakkari M.
68
Serve
24
73
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Pegula J.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pegula J.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
81
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Sakkari M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+262 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1796
8.4Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1812
3.3
H2H
6.7
7.0
Surface form
3.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pegula J.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
92

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Pegula J.[3]
Sakkari M.[4]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[4]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-4
Pegula J.[3]
Azarenka V.
7-636-1
Quarter-finals
Azarenka V.
Gauff C.[5]
7-624-66-3
Bouzkova M.
Kalinskaya A.
5-2
Pegula J.[3]
Stephens S.
6-26-2
Sakkari M.[4]
Kudermetova V.[8]
6-15-76-4
R16
Kudermetova V.[8]
Ostapenko J.[12]
6-46-4
Azarenka V.
Keys M.[13]
6-46-746-1
Stephens S.
Garcia C.[6]
7-667-5
Sakkari M.[4]
Collins D.[14]
5-76-36-3
Kalinskaya A.
Kasatkina D.[7]
6-22-66-3
Bouzkova M.
Samsonova L.
0-67-56-3
Gauff C.[5]
Trevisan M.
6-06-3
Pegula J.[3]
Andreescu B.
6-46-4
R32
Azarenka V.
Badosa P.[1]
6-2
Collins D.[14]
Frech M.
6-36-4
Keys M.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
3-66-46-3
Samsonova L.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-42-66-2
Pegula J.[3]
Rybakina E.
2-66-37-68
Bouzkova M.
Osorio C.
6-36-1
Sakkari M.[4]
Kostyuk M.
6-46-4
Stephens S.
Bencic B.[10]
6-46-4
Kudermetova V.[8]
Vekic D.
6-47-5
Trevisan M.
Siniakova K.
6-04-66-3
Gauff C.[5]
Cocciaretto E.
7-616-3
Andreescu B.
Kvitova P.[16]
3-66-26-0
Garcia C.[6]
Marino R.
6-726-37-65
Kasatkina D.[7]
Zhu L.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.
6-40-67-5
Ostapenko J.[12]
Bouchard E.
7-52-66-1
R64
Siniakova K.
Haddad Maia B.[11]
7-56-2
Osorio C.
Alexandrova E.[15]
6-47-68
Bencic B.[10]
Fernandez L.
7-56-7106-3
Trevisan M.
Hibino N.
6-46-3
Zhu L.
Cornet A.
3-66-36-4
Azarenka V.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-2
Tomljanovic A.
Contreras Gomez F.
6-26-1
Cocciaretto E.
Potapova A.
6-26-1
Rybakina E.
Pliskova K.
7-656-2
Andreescu B.
Teichmann J.
6-26-4
Kvitova P.[16]
Pera B.
6-37-5
Vekic D.
Pigossi L.
6-46-1
Collins D.[14]
Dolehide C.
6-46-1
Kostyuk M.
Sasnovich A.
6-16-3
Mertens E.
Muhammad A.
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Krejcikova B.[9]
6-36-4
Stephens S.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-2
Bouchard E.
Day K.
7-56-3
Samsonova L.
Kanepi K.
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[12]
Davis L.
6-16-3
Keys M.[13]
Linette M.
6-36-3
Marino R.
Li A.
6-27-62
Frech M.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Bouzkova M.
Martincova T.
6-27-5